[ihc-hide-content ihc_mb_type="show" ihc_mb_who="reg,2,4,5" ihc_mb_template="1" ] 以下為券商觀點,不代表越錸富立場 <div class="row"> <div class="col-lg-10 col-sm-12 col-md-12"> <div class="single_post_heading width_medium"> <div id="vst_detail"> <p class="pHead"><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/ket-qua-giao-dich/vietnam.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>越南指數</span></a><span>在最近幾個交易日連續下跌並走強，表明在市場利空消息較多的背景下，投資者情緒非常悲觀。</span></p> <p class="pSubTitle"><span>一、2023 年 3 月 14 日股票市場分析基礎</span></p> <p class="pBody"><span>- 2023 年 3 月 14 日股市下跌。收盤時，</span><span>越南指數</span><span>下跌 1.2% 至 1,040.13 點；</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/ket-qua-giao-dich/vietnam.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>HNX-Index</span></a><span>下跌 1.6%，至 202.55 點。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/HOSE-so-giao-dich-chung-khoan-thanh-pho-ho-chi-minh.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>- HOSE</span></a><span>匹配量超過5.59億次，較上一屆增長6.59%。</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/HNX-so-giao-dich-chung-khoan-ha-noi.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>HNX</span></a><span>上的成交量較上一交易日上漲49.42%，達到7500萬多套。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><span>- 外國投資者是HOSE</span><span>的淨買家，價值近 13,160 億越南盾，HNX 的淨買入價值</span><span>超過</span><span>130 億越南盾。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><span>- </span><span>VN-Index</span><span>從開盤時間開始就顯示為紅色。賣力逐漸增強並向各行業蔓延，導致跌幅擴大。下午，賣家繼續佔據主導地位，因此強勢下跌一直持續到盤末。</span><span>越南指數</span><span>收盤下跌 12.67 點。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><span>- </span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/ket-qua-giao-dich/vietnam.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>VN30 指數</span></a><span>收盤下跌 12.72 點 (-1.21%)，至 1,037.35 點。賣家主導了</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/ket-qua-giao-dich/vietnam.aspx" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>VN30</span></a><span>籃子，有 25 家下跌，2 家上漲，3 家持平。其中，</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/SAB-tong-cong-ty-co-phan-bia-ruou-nuoc-giai-khat-sai-gon.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>SAB</span></a><span>以1.6%的漲幅領漲，反之；</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/GVR-tap-doan-cong-nghiep-cao-su-viet-nam-ctcp.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>GVR</span></a><span>、</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/HPG-ctcp-tap-doan-hoa-phat.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>HPG</span></a><span>、</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/SSI-ctcp-chung-khoan-ssi.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>SSI</span></a><span>和</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/NVL-ctcp-tap-doan-dau-tu-dia-oc-no-va.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>NVL</span></a><span>跌幅最大，約為 3-4%。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><span>- 就影響而言，</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/BID-ngan-hang-tmcp-dau-tu-va-phat-trien-viet-nam.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>BID</span></a><span>、</span><span>HPG</span><span>和</span><span>GVR是對</span><span>VN-Index</span><span>負面影響最大的代碼，總共下降了約 3%。另一方面，</span><span>SAB</span><span>和</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/VJC-ctcp-hang-khong-vietjet.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>VJC</span></a><span>是最活躍的貢獻者。僅</span><span>SAB</span><span>一家就為整體市場指數貢獻了 0.49 點。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><span>- 採礦業表現相當悲觀，該行業也是市場中跌幅最大的行業之一。</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/PVS-tong-cong-ty-co-phan-dich-vu-ky-thuat-dau-khi-viet-nam.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>PVS</span></a><span>和</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/PVD-tong-cong-ty-co-phan-khoan-va-dich-vu-khoan-dau-khi.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>PVD</span></a><span>貨幣對分別下跌 4.6% 和 5.94%。其他代碼如</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/PVC-tong-cong-ty-hoa-chat-va-dich-vu-dau-khi-ctcp.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>PVC</span></a><span>、</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/NBC-ctcp-than-nui-beo-vinacomin.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>NBC</span></a><span>、</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/MDC-ctcp-than-mong-duong-vinacomin.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>MDC</span></a><span>、</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/PVB-ctcp-boc-ong-dau-khi-viet-nam.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>PVB</span></a><span>都掉得很深。油價在周一（3 月 13 日）的震盪交易中下跌超過 2%，原因是矽谷銀行的倒閉驚嚇了股市並引發了人們對新金融危機的擔憂。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><span>- 證券股也因大盤深度回調，流動性大不如前，影響行業後市。紅色幾乎覆蓋了整個行業，</span><span>SSI</span><span>、</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/VND-ctcp-chung-khoan-vndirect.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>VND</span></a><span>、</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/HCM-ctcp-chung-khoan-thanh-pho-ho-chi-minh.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>HCM</span></a><span>等領先代碼均下跌超過3%，</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/MBS-ctcp-chung-khoan-mb.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>MBS</span></a><span>、</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/EVS-ctcp-chung-khoan-everest.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>EVS</span></a><span>或</span><a href="https://finance.vietstock.vn/APG-ctcp-chung-khoan-apg.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><span>APG</span></a><span>下跌超過4%。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><span>越南指數</span><span>在最近幾個交易日連續下跌並走強，表明在市場利空消息較多的背景下，投資者情緒非常悲觀。</span></p> <p class="pInterTitle"><span>二。趨勢和價格電壓分析</span></p> <p class="pBody"><strong><span>VN-Index</span><span> - </span><span>100</span><span>天 SMA 支撐指數</span></strong></p> <p class="pBody"><span>在 2023 年 3 月 15 日的交易時段，</span><span>VN-Index</span><span>跌破布利格通道中線，表明當指數無法突破長期趨勢線（相當於 1,065-1,075 點）時，風險非常高。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><span>目前，</span><span>100</span><span>日均線支撐指數。如果該線在短期內也被打破，則中期下跌趨勢仍將持續。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><img src="https://image.vietstock.vn/2023/03/14/daily-14-03-2023-hinh-1.png" alt="" align="center" /></p> <p class="pBody"><strong><span>HNX 指數</span><span>- 隨機震盪指標和 MACD 發出賣出信號</span></strong></p> <p class="pBody"><span>在15/03/2023的交易時段，</span><span>HNX-Index</span><span>形成了三根陰燭形態，顯示悲觀情緒正在覆蓋，賣單量遠大於買單量，顯示出強大的賣壓。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><span>同時，隨機震盪指標和MACD均出現賣出信號，下行風險較高。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><img class="img-scaled" src="https://image.vietstock.vn/2023/03/14/daily-14-03-2023-hinh-2.png" alt="" align="center" /></p> <p class="pBody"><strong><span>現金流量分析</span></strong></p> <p class="pBody"><span>精明資金的走勢： VN-Index</span><span>的負成交量指數仍低於</span><span>20</span><span>天均線並維持該狀態。因此，突然下跌的風險很高。</span></p> <p class="pBody"><img src="https://image.vietstock.vn/2023/03/14/daily-14-03-2023-hinh-3.png" alt="" align="center" /></p> <p class="pBody"><strong><span>來自外國投資者的現金流量變動</span></strong><span>：在 2023 年 3 月 15 日的交易時段，外國投資者是淨買家。如果外國投資者在接下來的幾個交易日中保持這種行為，那麼情況就不會那麼悲觀了。</span></p> <p class="pSubTitle"><span>三、市場統計日 14/03/2023</span></p> <p class="pSubTitle"><img src="https://image.vietstock.vn/2023/03/14/daily-14-03-2023-hinh-4.png" alt="" align="center" /><img src="https://image.vietstock.vn/2023/03/14/daily-14-03-2023-hinh-5.png" alt="" align="center" /></p> </div> </div> </div> </div> [/ihc-hide-content]
